IMD Predicts Warmer November With Intensifying El Nino Conditions

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Last updated on October 7th, 2024 at 02:35 am

Get Ready for a Warmer November in India: The IMD in India predicts important November weather. Here’s a straightforward summary to keep you informed.



India’s weather map showing higher minimum temperatures in November due to El Nino

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Warmer November Ahead



In November, most of India is set to experience higher minimum temperatures. This means it will be warmer than usual, with a few exceptions in the northwest and west-central regions. The reason behind this temperature rise is the strengthening El Nino conditions.



Illustration of El Nino phenomenon showing warm waters in the Pacific Ocean



Understanding El Nino



El Nino is a weather phenomenon where waters in the Pacific Ocean near South America warm up. This event can have a big impact on global weather patterns. In India, El Nino is associated with weaker monsoon winds and drier conditions. So, the warmer November is linked to El Nino.



Chart showing expected rainfall in India for November, varying from 77% to 123% of the usual amount



Rainfall Expectations



As the temperature goes up, India’s weather experts predict that November’s rain will be normal, varying from 77% to 123% of the usual amount. However, there’s an unexpected twist to this forecast.



Above-Average Rainfall in Some Areas



Some parts of India will get extra rain soon. These places are found in the southern part, the northwest, and the eastern-central, east, and northeast regions of the country. While a few areas will be sunny and dry, others might experience higher rainfall.



Diagram of the Indian Ocean Dipole showing warmer water towards Africa and cooler water near Indonesia



The Causes of El Nino



El Nino conditions are currently happening in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. In Indian Ocean, we have something known as the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). This happens when the water is warmer towards Africa in the west and cooler near Indonesia in the east.



IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra discussing the future of El Nino conditions



What Lies Ahead for El Nino



IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra mentioned that models suggest El Nino conditions are unlikely to continue into the next monsoon season. This is important because El Nino can disrupt the monsoon and affect India’s agriculture.



In Conclusion



As we step into November, prepare for a warmer month in most parts of India. The IMD’s weather predictions are crucial for farmers, city residents, and anyone planning outdoor activities. While El Nino conditions are at play now, there’s hope for normal monsoon conditions in the upcoming season. Stay updated on the weather, and keep cool and hydrated as temperatures rise.

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